NFL Playoffs Sports Service Picks
January 9, 2010 by admin
Filed under Sports Pick Service Plays Forum
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Burns
*10* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH! **55-28 RUN!***
Long known as a “Playoff Expert,” Ben Burns has gone a FANTASTIC 55-28-1 with his L84 NFL playoff selections. That includes winners with BOTH his #1 Side (Arizona over Atlanta) AND Total (Minny/Philly ‘under’) in the Wildcard Rd. Ben passed on the Sun. Night game between the Jets & Bengals but he’s NOT passing Sat. afternoon. Jump on board!
Bengals
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NESS
Div. GAME OF MONTH! (Dallas/Philly!)
Last year, Larry WON BIG with BOTH his #1 Wildcard Total (Arizona/Atlanta ‘over’) AND his #1 Wildcard Side, a BLOWOUT WINNER with Philadelphia. The Eagles are back in the Wildcard Rd and this year, they’re taking on a familiar foe. Will they avenge last week’s loss? Or, will Dallas have its way with them once again? Larry KNOWS the answer!
Eagles
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Parsons
*10* “BOOKIEKILLER” *Signature Top Play*
Congrats to everyone who joined Nick this year with his NFL plays; truly a remarkable season which was highlighted by many BIG WINS! Parsons absolutely loves the Jets/Bengals contest and has stamped this ticket with *10* “BOOKIEKILLER” status! This is his “signature selection” and he’s looking to “Kill The Books” with it!
Bengals
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BRANDON LANG
75 DIME – NEW YORK JETS – (if line is 2 1/2 you buy the 1/2 and get 3. If 3 you buy the 1/2 and get 3 1/2. Line value with the underdog – get the best line possible.)
25 DIME – NEW YORK JETS MONEY LINE PLAY – This is a dangerous animal right here.
When you have the # 1 defense in the NFL and the # 1 rush attack in the NFL, I don’t care who you are playing, you are going to be a tough out. Now I know Cincinnati will put 8 in the box and do everything they can to stop the run, and force Sanchez to throw and beat them but that isn’t where the Jets are going to win the game. They win the game because of the true weakness of this Bengals team and has been their weakness all year is their offense. The warning signs have been there all year long but down the stretch when your offense is supposed to be peaking heading into the playoffs, this Bengals team has gotten worse. There was the 90 yards passing at Minnesota 4 weeks ago, and at home 2 weeks ago they were held to 10 points for 58 minutes by the Chiefs, who just so happen to have the 3rd worst defense in the NFL. Over their last 9 games the Bengals have reached 20 points or more twice and they have covered only 1 of their last 7 games right along with it. Of all the teams in the playoffs Cincinnati could have faced they draw the one team they match up the worst against. Am I concerned about young Mr. Mark “Interception” Sanchez on the road in his first playoff game? Absolutely, but I also trust the offensive coordinator Schottenheimer to put him in situations to not lose the game instead have to win it. Playoff football is about running the football and playing defense. Two the things the Jets do better than any team in the NFL. This is one of the best offensive lines in football and they dominated the trenches a week ago and I don’t see anything to lead me to believe they won’t dominate it again. I don’t see any changes the Bengals can make offensively which leads me to believe they can execute any better at home against the #1 ranked defense in the NFL. Cincinnati has scored the least amount of points than any team in the playoffs, and quite frankly, I don’t trust the 24th ranked offense against the # 1 defense in the NFL and I don’t care where they play.I will gladly grab the Jets plus the points and I will money line the Jets as well as they handle the Bengals again and move on to round two.
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Steven Budin-
CEO SATURDAY’S PICK COSTA RICA CONNECTION
100 DIME RELEASE
Cincinnati on the MONEY LINE
Note from Steve:
As I’ve told you before, when I refer to my “Costa Rica Connection,” the source is actually a head clerk at one of the top three offshore sportsbooks. Obviously I can’t tell you which one, but rest assured every wise guy in the country plays into this office. And I know this guy because I trained him when he used to work for me years ago at my book and we’ve remained close ever since.
This play, as you can see, is a MONEYLINE release. Right now, Cincinnati is anywhere from -135 to -140 on the moneyline offshore and in Vegas. So, betting the Bengals at these prices would be no different than betting a low-priced favorite in baseball.
Also, consider why this is such a typical wiseguy move: The pointspread for this game has been floating between 2 1/2 and 3 all week. Typically, the home favorite in these cases will settle at 3 by kickoff and most local bookies will go ahead and price it at -3 anyway. And thus smart players would then buy down the 1/2 point to 2 1/2 – which is what I would obviously recommend as well – at a price of -130 (which is what the going rate is nowadays when you’re buying around the number 3 offshore and in Vegas and sportsbooks continue to squeeze you). But rather than buying insurance at -130 and worrying about the pointspread at all, these sharps are instead simply taking Cincinnati on the Moneyline at a slightly bigger price of approximately -135 or -140.
Here’s another way of looking at it: Instead of buying down the half-point at a cost of -130 and still laying 2 1/2 points on the Bengals, they are getting a “3-point discount,” making it a pick-em game at a cost of about -135 or -140. It’s really an incredibly simple and effective strategy.

