Sports Service Plays 12-18-09

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Dave Malinsky 


Top of the Ticket

CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE(-3) over Drexel Dragons

4* #528 C.S.-NORTHRIDGE over DREXEL 

There is a cavernous gap in focus between these teams for this setting, and with Drexel having some tactical and logistical disadvantages what they are projecting as a close game in the marketplace has a chance to break wide open. Being at home means much more for Bobby Braswell and his Matadors than the oddsmakers appraisal for tonight. This will be their only game in the Matadome in a span of five weeks, and for a team that has already logged 11,521 air miles it creates a most favorable environment. That is accentuated by their pressing and trapping tactics, with Braswell once again having a deep rotation (11 players logging double-figure minute counts). That style is not conducive to early road success, of course, which helps to buy us their lower power rating, but now they get the home fans behind them, and some of those road challenges (particularly Purdue and Washington) will have accelerated their development process. Look for a fresh and hungry team to take the court tonight, one that will attack relentlessly for the full 40 minutes. That is not Drexel basketball, of course. The Dragons play a physical and methodical style that is the embodiment of coach Bruiser Flint, and they rarely go up against an opponent that forces this kind of tempo. The best way to attack the Matador presses is to go over the top and take the ball to the basket but that is not the Drexel way, and a sluggish offense that has connected at only a 39.8 percent clip so far, including a horrid 62.1 at the free throw line, faces an uphill battle vs. this defensive pressure. And that is even if they brought their ?A? game anyway. We do not expect to see a top level of efficiency from a team that has not played west of the Mississippi River since a game at Creighton in February of 2007, and they have not even traveled west of their own campus for a game this season. No one on the roster has ever played a game in the Pacific Time Zone, which makes the 10 PM tipoff on their body clocks an issue, and there is also the major distraction of a nationally televised game at Kentucky at Monday. For a team that harbors no at-large tourney considerations of any kind this result does not carry a lot of meaning, so do not be surprised if Flint experiments with some lineup combinations and treats it as more of an exhibition affair, something that Braswell will absolutely not do.

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Brandon Lang



10 DIME – LA CLIPPERS – Finally healthy, the Clippers are ready to make a move.

With Chris Kaman and Baron Davis playing together at full strength, I’ve always said this could be a dangerous ballclub.

They come off a flat-out rout of the Timberwolves 120-95 as a 1-point underdog, and now look to keep that momentum here against the Knicks.

New York comes in off a 4th quarter meltdown versus the Bulls on the road last night leading by 3 at the end of 3 only to get outscored 29-17 in the 4th for the 9 point loss.

Considering the new energy this Clipper team is playing with and the Knicks struggling last night, solid play here with the road dog that is rested and ready for the bright lights of the Garden.

10 DIME – CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE MATADORS -What was Bruiser Flint thinking dragging his Drexel team 3,000 miles from Philly to play Cal State Northridge?

I will tell you what he was thinking: Warm weather for my kids.

Well warm weather or not, this is a bad spot for Drexel as this Northridge team is playing very well as of late covering 4 of their last 5 with the non-cover being a 7 point loss at Denver catching 6 1/2.

Drexel has played 6 of their 11 games on the road so they are road tested, but they just don’t have the offense to match this up tempo style of Northridge nor do they have the depth to keep up as well.

Contrast of styles as Drexel will want to slow it down while Cal State Northridge will want to speed it up and in this case I will back the hometeam who will be well rested, well acclimated with no jet lag to worry about.

Cal State Northridge is the play.

10 DIME- MONTANA STATE BOBCATS – Like the way this Brad Huse squad is building momentum for this squad this year.

They returned 4 starters from last year and including leading scorer Will Bynum and have already faced Nevada, Southern Miss, Oregon and Memphis.

That will bode well as they step down, way down to face this Cal Santa Barbara team at home in Bozeman.

The Gauchos also return 4 starters and they to are playing some pretty good basketball but they have not played near the schedule this Montana State team has.

I mean, Cal State University Los Angeles, Weber State, Loyola Marymount, Santa Clara and San Diego State.

Not exactly stepping up to get things going out of conference now are we?

I am going to roll with Montana State tonight with some good value at home and look for their early season tough schedule to pay off mightly tonight.

Playing Montana State

FREE SELECTION – ATLANTA HAWKS

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MREAST 


NCAAB FRIDAY PLAY OF THE DAY 
The Pepperdine Waves once a program rich with talent, has fallen on hard times. They managed just 7 wins all last season, and early indications are they will have a tough time doing much better this season. They have played 2 teams that aren’t even div-1 programs, and beat Cal St. San Bernardino at home by just 2, and lost to California Baptist, ouch! They have yet to be posted as a favorite this season, and over the last few years they are just 3-10 ATS in the favorite role. Aggies have 6 losses, all to quality opponents, as they have taken care of the poor teams on their schedule, and I’ll back New Mexico St. in this one.

#531 NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES @ #532 PEPPERDINE WAVES 10:30PM EST

PLAY ON #531 NEW MEXICO ST. AGGIES +3 -110 FOR 3 UNITS